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2007-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Maryland Terrapins Spread Result
Elo 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% - โœ“
Margin 4.5% 95.5% +16.8 โœ“ (23.2 off)
Pythagorean 40.6% 59.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.5% 96.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 3.2% 96.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 18.2% 81.8% - โœ“

Actual: Maryland Terrapins +40 (97-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jefferson 0 5-11 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 0 10 4 -
A. DeHaan 0 1-7 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
M. Johnson 0 1-7 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
V. Lucas-Perry 0 8-19 4-10 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 20 5 -
R. Haynes 0 1-7 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Coleman 0 2-13 1-5 4-4 8 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
K. Toliver 0 4-6 4-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 12 7 -
L. Harper 0 5-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 10 7 -
C. Langhorne 0 13-14 0-0 2-3 9 0 0 0 0 28 23 -
S. Doron 0 3-8 1-2 4-5 4 0 0 0 0 11 7 -

* = starter