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2007-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Rider Broncs Marist Red Foxes Spread Result
Elo 15.7% 84.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.7% 79.3% - โœ“
Margin 7.3% 92.7% +14.0 โœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 29.8% 70.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.1% 92.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 7.0% 93.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.5% 76.5% - โœ“

Actual: Marist Red Foxes +16 (71-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rider Broncs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mouton 40 5-10 2-5 0-0 5 3 2 0 3 12 9 -
H. Mansell 39 5-14 2-5 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 12 3 -
R. Thompson 31 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 4 4 -
R. Myers 28 3-6 0-0 0-1 5 0 1 1 3 6 4 -
J. Thompson 27 4-16 0-0 5-5 10 0 2 3 2 13 10 -
L. Johnson 22 2-5 0-3 1-1 0 1 0 0 2 5 -1 -
B. Anderson 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 -
J. Green 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
K. Warner 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Marist Red Foxes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Whittington 38 5-12 2-8 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 12 1 -
M. Jackson 37 6-12 1-4 0-1 4 11 1 0 6 13 11 -
B. Farmer 31 3-5 1-3 2-2 3 2 1 1 1 9 10 -
S. McNamara 25 6-7 0-1 2-2 7 0 0 0 1 14 13 -
R. Stilphen 21 2-11 0-0 0-2 9 3 0 0 1 4 4 -
J. Smith 20 3-7 3-5 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 9 5 -
S. Benjamin 14 3-5 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 8 8 -
G. Carter 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
K. Gregory 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter