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2007-01-04

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 77.2% 22.8% -
Bradley-Terry 61.3% 38.7% -
Margin 59.9% 40.1% -2.2 (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 79.0% 21.0% -
Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.9% 4.1% -
Log Adjusted 95.9% 4.1% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers -15 (56-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Afflalo 32 4-8 2-5 4-4 2 1 1 1 0 14 11 -
L. Mbah a Moute 31 3-9 1-3 4-6 9 2 1 0 3 11 11 -
D. Collison 30 4-6 2-2 1-2 0 6 2 0 5 11 8 -
J. Shipp 29 5-10 1-4 7-7 3 1 2 0 0 18 14 -
L. Mata-Real 26 4-8 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 3 2 10 9 -
M. Roll 19 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
A. Aboya 14 0-1 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
R. Westbrook 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 2 -
R. Wright 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Keefe 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
N. Dragovic 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Tarver 40 2-11 0-0 2-4 3 1 2 0 1 6 0 -
M. Jones 37 6-14 0-5 1-2 5 2 2 0 4 13 4 -
S. Cuic 34 5-11 2-4 1-2 7 5 1 0 1 13 14 -
K. Jeffers 31 2-4 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 2 0 7 10 -
W. Washington 26 3-8 0-2 0-2 5 1 2 1 5 6 2 -
J. McGillis 19 3-7 1-3 2-2 1 0 1 1 0 9 5 -
M. Johnson 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
C. Hampton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Tsagarakis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter