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2007-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 44.6% 55.4% -
Bradley-Terry 28.0% 72.0% -
Margin 18.5% 81.5% +8.2 (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% -
Efficiency 43.0% 57.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.9% 34.1% -
Log Adjusted 65.9% 34.1% -

Actual: Syracuse Orange -8 (66-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Fields 34 9-15 3-7 3-4 4 5 4 0 4 24 18 -
A. Graves 32 3-8 3-6 0-0 1 5 0 0 3 9 4 -
A. Gray 32 4-9 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 2 0 9 12 -
L. Kendall 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 2 4 -
R. Ramon 22 4-8 1-5 3-4 1 3 1 0 1 12 8 -
M. Cook 19 4-10 0-2 0-1 3 2 0 0 0 8 3 -
S. Young 17 0-1 0-0 2-4 1 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
K. Benjamin 13 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
T. Biggs 8 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Watkins 40 4-8 0-0 3-4 8 2 1 2 1 11 15 -
D. Nichols 38 4-15 1-5 2-2 5 3 3 0 3 11 4 -
E. Devendorf 29 7-13 1-4 2-2 2 4 2 1 3 17 10 -
J. Wright 26 2-6 1-3 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 7 3 -
P. Harris 23 3-7 0-1 0-0 9 1 2 0 0 6 11 -
A. Rautins 22 3-7 2-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 8 4 -
T. Roberts 22 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 2 -

* = starter