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2007-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Pennsylvania Quakers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 10.1% 89.9% -
Bradley-Terry 8.8% 91.2% -
Margin 2.1% 97.9% +21.0 (17.0 off)
Efficiency 5.2% 94.8% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +38 (102-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Zoller 36 4-9 0-2 0-0 10 0 2 0 6 8 5 -
I. Jaaber 35 8-12 2-4 3-4 4 8 3 2 2 21 24 -
B. Grandieri 27 1-4 0-3 1-2 1 3 0 0 1 3 2 -
K. Egee 22 3-12 2-6 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 8 -4 -
S. Danley 20 1-5 0-1 4-7 2 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
T. McMahon 15 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 5 0 -
M. Kach 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
B. Votel 10 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 4 5 -
D. Smith 7 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
A. Schreiber 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Reilly 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
C. Lewis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hansbrough 28 6-13 0-0 7-10 5 3 4 1 0 19 19 -
W. Ellington 25 6-13 4-8 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 17 9 -
B. Wright 25 5-7 0-0 2-3 7 2 0 1 1 12 14 -
T. Lawson 22 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 4 4 -
R. Terry 16 7-10 1-2 4-4 9 3 1 0 3 19 19 -
D. Green 14 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 1 1 4 3 -
W. Miller 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Ginyard 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 2 4 -
D. Thompson 12 2-3 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
A. Stepheson 9 3-4 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 2 1 8 6 -
B. Frasor 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 5 5 -
Q. Thomas 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 0 4 -
M. Copeland 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 0 3 -
S. Wood 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Burke 2 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -

* = starter