Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✓ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +16 (78-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Williams | 32 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| J. Smith | 26 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| E. Sosa | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| P. Johnson | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| D. Padgett | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Caracter | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| A. McGee | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Laudermill | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Palacios | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| E. Clark | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| W. Scott | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Farley | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Carter | 38 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| C. Falls | 37 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Jackson | 35 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| R. Kurz | 34 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| L. Harangody | 21 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| L. Zeller | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Z. Hillesland | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Peoples | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Ayers | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter