Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 9.9% | 90.1% | +12.1 | ✗ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -6 (75-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. McCraw | 40 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| D. Nwaelele | 40 | 7-10 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 40 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| T. Anderson | 40 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| N. Welch | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Frye | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Henke | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smith | 36 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 24 | - |
| S. Creason | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| S. Gilling | 33 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | - |
| C. Lewis | 31 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| T. Smith | 30 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5 | - |
| T. Denson | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| F. Robinson | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| X. Kilby | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Vermeulen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter