Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland Terrapins | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 6.6% | 93.4% | +14.6 | ✗ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -3 (75-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Coleman | 0 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| K. Toliver | 0 | 6-18 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | - |
| L. Harper | 0 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| S. Doron | 0 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bales | 0 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| M. Bass | 0 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - |
| W. Smith | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Harding | 0 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5 | - |
| M. Currie | 0 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 11 | - |
* = starter