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2006-03-25

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 26.4% 73.6% -
Bradley-Terry 26.7% 73.3% -
Margin 15.6% 84.4% +9.3 (19.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% -
Efficiency 5.4% 94.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.6% 78.4% -
Log Adjusted 21.5% 78.5% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns -10 (60-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mitchell * 45 2-10 1-6 6-6 4 5 3 1 2 11 12 -
G. Temple * 44 2-9 0-6 0-0 2 2 1 2 1 4 1 -
G. Davis * 39 11-19 1-2 3-5 9 2 1 1 2 26 18 -
T. Thomas * 39 10-14 0-0 1-3 13 1 1 3 1 21 24 -
T. Mitchell * 30 2-8 1-4 1-2 5 6 1 0 2 6 8 -
D. Lazare 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Voogd 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Rolle 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Aldridge * 44 2-14 0-0 0-0 10 2 2 5 2 4 7 -
P.J. Tucker * 44 4-11 1-2 1-3 13 6 1 0 1 10 18 -
D. Gibson * 42 5-12 4-8 1-2 3 1 1 0 2 15 6 -
B. Buckman * 39 3-9 3-8 4-4 14 0 3 2 2 13 21 -
K. Paulino * 29 4-14 0-5 2-2 3 4 0 0 2 10 1 -
A.J. Abrams 19 2-7 2-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 6 -1 -
M. Williams 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter