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2006-03-19

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 27.4% 72.6% -
Bradley-Terry 34.0% 66.0% -
Margin 21.1% 78.9% +7.3 (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 31.2% 68.8% -
Efficiency 13.1% 86.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.7% 96.3% -
Log Adjusted 3.7% 96.3% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns +21 (75-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Bennerman * 37 6-11 1-4 3-5 2 1 0 0 1 16 7 -
T. Bethel * 33 2-10 2-8 0-0 6 1 2 0 1 6 4 -
C. Simmons * 31 5-10 0-0 2-5 6 2 0 3 2 12 11 -
E. Atsur * 27 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 3 0 1 0 3 -
I. Evtimov * 23 1-6 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
G. Grant 24 6-11 0-5 2-2 1 4 0 0 2 14 6 -
C. Fells 13 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 4 4 -
A. Brackman 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
B. McCauley 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Gibson * 37 6-13 3-8 2-2 4 6 3 0 2 17 15 -
P.J. Tucker * 36 7-14 0-0 3-4 11 4 2 0 0 17 20 -
L. Aldridge * 34 2-9 0-0 6-8 8 0 3 2 3 10 11 -
B. Buckman * 25 2-6 0-1 1-2 5 0 0 1 1 5 4 -
K. Paulino * 20 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 8 6 -
A.J. Abrams 24 5-8 3-6 3-3 3 5 0 0 3 16 13 -
M. Williams 22 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
C. Atchley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J.D. Lewis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter