Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: California Golden Bears -6 (52-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Evtimov * | 36 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Bennerman * | 35 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| T. Bethel * | 32 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| C. Simmons * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| E. Atsur * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Grant | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A. Brackman | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Fells | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. McCauley | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Powe * | 38 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| A. Ubaka * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| O. Wilkes * | 22 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| R. Midgley * | 13 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Hardin * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Robertson | 34 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Benson | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| N. Knezevic | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E. Vierneisel | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Wilkes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter