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2006-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 55.5% 44.5% -
Bradley-Terry 35.6% 64.4% -
Margin 22.1% 77.9% +6.9 (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +19 (89-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Jules 0 3-8 0-0 5-6 7 0 0 0 0 11 10 -
C. Thomas 0 6-9 0-0 5-6 7 0 0 0 0 17 15 -
D. Davis 0 4-8 0-1 1-1 5 0 0 0 0 9 6 -
C. Stringfield 0 3-11 2-6 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 8 2 -
C. Williams 0 4-7 3-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 11 5 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Larkins 0 8-17 0-0 6-6 11 0 0 0 0 22 16 -
C. Little 0 3-9 1-1 3-5 7 0 0 0 0 10 8 -
I. Latta 0 8-17 2-7 9-9 3 0 0 0 0 27 13 -
J. Sell 0 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
L. Atkinson 0 4-11 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 -1 -

* = starter