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2006-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 20.2% 79.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 35.2% 64.8% - โœ“
Margin 13.7% 86.3% +10.1 โœ“ (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.0% 55.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 14.4% 85.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.3% 86.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +12 (76-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Covington 0 6-10 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 13 5 -
M. Taylor 0 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
K. Olson 0 1-6 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -4 -
J. Huggins 0 4-7 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 10 4 -
C. Neal 0 2-6 2-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 8 4 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Jules 0 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
C. Thomas 0 7-12 0-0 6-6 6 0 0 0 0 20 14 -
D. Davis 0 2-4 0-0 4-4 6 0 0 0 0 8 10 -
C. Stringfield 0 2-5 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
C. Williams 0 7-11 6-10 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 21 11 -

* = starter