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2006-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles Villanova Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 29.8% 70.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“
Margin 20.4% 79.6% +7.5 โœ“ (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 20.2% 79.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.8% 80.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.8% 65.2% - โœ“

Actual: Villanova Wildcats +1 (60-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Smith * 45 6-11 0-0 2-6 14 7 2 2 7 14 21 -
L. Hinnant * 43 2-9 1-6 0-0 2 4 1 0 4 5 -1 -
S. Marshall * 40 5-10 2-6 0-0 3 3 0 1 1 12 8 -
J. Dudley * 40 6-11 2-3 0-1 3 2 0 0 6 14 2 -
J. Oates * 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
S. Williams 24 2-2 0-0 3-6 7 0 1 3 1 7 15 -
T. Rice 11 0-3 0-3 3-4 0 2 1 0 2 3 1 -
A. McLain 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Haynes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Foye * 45 10-25 2-8 7-8 6 3 2 0 2 29 13 -
A. Ray * 37 3-15 2-9 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 9 -4 -
W. Sheridan * 36 2-5 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
K. Lowry * 29 3-8 0-2 1-3 3 3 5 0 2 7 8 -
M. Nardi * 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
D. Cunningham 36 1-1 0-0 2-3 8 3 4 1 1 4 18 -
J. Fraser 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 2 1 -
S. Clark 14 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
C. Charles 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter