🐻⬇️🏀

@
2006-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 13.2% 86.8% -
Bradley-Terry 33.6% 66.4% -
Margin 25.5% 74.5% +5.9 (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.6% 78.4% -
Log Adjusted 21.6% 78.4% -

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -8 (79-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Strait * 38 9-16 0-0 4-4 5 7 0 1 0 22 19 -
K. Criswell * 37 5-9 0-1 8-8 2 1 0 1 1 18 12 -
V. Matthews * 36 6-11 2-2 6-6 5 3 1 0 4 20 14 -
M. Dlouhy * 30 0-5 0-2 0-0 4 5 0 0 0 0 4 -
J. Hasquet * 21 5-7 4-5 2-4 4 0 0 0 1 16 12 -
B. Ellis 19 2-2 0-0 1-3 2 2 1 0 1 5 7 -
M. Martin 9 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
M. Chavez 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
K. Sharp 3 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Fazekas * 38 10-23 0-6 4-5 12 2 0 3 2 24 16 -
M. Kemp * 36 14-22 3-7 3-3 5 1 2 1 2 34 19 -
K. Shiloh * 32 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 6 4 -
R. Sessions * 30 4-12 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 8 5 -
D. Johnson * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Bell 23 0-1 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 3 1 0 8 -
M. Charlo 20 3-6 0-1 1-1 5 3 1 0 1 7 9 -
L. Burleson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter