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2006-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 35.8% 64.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% - โœ“
Margin 25.9% 74.1% +5.8 โœ“ (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 34.1% 65.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 33.5% 66.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.3% 61.7% - โœ“

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +19 (94-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Tucker * 37 5-15 1-1 8-14 4 2 1 0 2 19 9 -
K. Taylor * 31 4-11 4-7 0-0 0 4 1 0 3 12 3 -
R. Nixon * 22 2-4 2-4 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 6 10 -
B. Butch * 19 1-4 0-2 4-4 1 2 1 0 0 6 6 -
J. Chappell * 19 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 8 3 -
M. Flowers 29 4-8 2-4 1-1 2 4 1 1 2 11 9 -
J. Krabbenhoft 25 3-6 1-2 2-3 4 4 0 0 1 9 10 -
K. Gullikson 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 3 -
T. Bronson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Cain 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Barry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Shakur * 37 6-13 3-5 2-4 5 9 2 1 2 17 19 -
I. Radenovic * 34 8-12 0-1 2-2 7 2 0 1 3 18 13 -
M. Williams * 29 3-10 1-3 3-3 7 2 3 2 1 10 13 -
H. Adams * 23 10-14 0-0 1-2 2 3 1 0 0 21 13 -
K. Walters * 16 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 2 1 1 6 8 -
B. Brielmaier 25 3-3 0-0 4-4 8 0 0 0 0 10 15 -
D. Dillon 15 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
C. Rodgers 13 2-2 1-1 3-4 2 0 1 0 1 8 8 -
F. Onobun 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
M. Tangara 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J.P. Prince 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Bagga 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter