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2006-04-02

Model Predictions

Model Maryland Terrapins North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 39.0% 61.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% - โœ—
Margin 21.1% 78.9% +7.3 โœ— (18.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 19.8% 80.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 19.6% 80.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 35.3% 64.7% - โœ—

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -11 (70-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Coleman 0 3-5 0-1 6-6 11 0 0 0 0 12 18 -
K. Toliver 0 5-12 1-6 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 14 6 -
L. Harper 0 8-17 0-1 8-10 8 0 0 0 0 24 15 -
C. Langhorne 0 10-12 0-0 3-6 2 0 0 0 0 23 13 -
S. Doron 0 2-5 0-1 4-6 5 0 0 0 0 8 8 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Larkins 0 9-16 0-0 10-15 9 0 0 0 0 28 21 -
C. Little 0 3-10 0-3 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 8 2 -
I. Latta 0 5-17 1-10 3-5 0 0 0 0 0 14 -3 -
J. Sell 0 2-5 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
L. Atkinson 0 2-7 0-2 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter