Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | +2.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +14 (59-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Temple * | 38 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -4 | - |
| D. Mitchell * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| T. Mitchell * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| G. Davis * | 31 | 5-17 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| T. Thomas * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| D. Lazare | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. Rolle | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| B. Voogd | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Mbah a Moute * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| J. Farmar * | 28 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| C. Bozeman * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Afflalo * | 25 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| R. Hollins * | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Collison | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Mata-Real | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| M. Roll | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| A. Aboya | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Rubin | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Wright | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Fey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter