Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.2% | 95.8% | +17.2 | ✓ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +2 (63-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Strother | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| W. Crockett | 0 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| B. Turner | 0 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 0 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | - |
| M. Thomas | 0 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bales | 0 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| M. Bass | 0 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| W. Smith | 0 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - |
| L. Harding | 0 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Currie | 0 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 7-10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
* = starter