Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 4.3% | 95.7% | +17.0 | ✗ (22.0 off) |
| Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -5 (60-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Thomas * | 37 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Lewis * | 35 | 4-15 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 3 | - |
| F. Campbell * | 35 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| L. Butler * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | - |
| G. Norwood * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| T. Skinn | 25 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| S. Hernandez | 6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Fleming | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Noel * | 38 | 9-15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 17 | - |
| T. Hansbrough * | 33 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| B. Frasor * | 30 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| W. Miller * | 27 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| R. Terry * | 27 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D. Green | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Sanders | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter