Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.1% | 95.9% | +17.3 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +4 (69-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Orr * | 34 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | - |
| K. Jenifer * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| P. Griffith * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Hopkins * | 22 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | - |
| S. Witherspoon * | 8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Pearson | 31 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| I. Redding | 30 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| C. Johnson | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Holloway | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Kennedy | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Wright | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. McCoy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Noel * | 38 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| T. Hansbrough * | 31 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 20 | - |
| B. Frasor * | 29 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| R. Terry * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 10 | - |
| W. Miller * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Green | 14 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Sanders | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter