Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.5% | 99.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.7% | 96.3% | +17.9 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +9 (78-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hood * | 40 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| J. Burtschi * | 36 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| M. McCraw * | 36 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| D. Nwaelele * | 33 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| J. Frye * | 22 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Henke | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Anderson | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Holum | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Kenzik | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Teets | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brown * | 39 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 20 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| R. McBride * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Randle * | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Smith | 30 | 7-10 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| W. Carter | 23 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| C. Frazier | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Arnold | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Brock | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter