Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +4 (87-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Perry * | 35 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| R. Morris * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| P. Sparks * | 32 | 10-16 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 19 | - |
| R. Rondo * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Crawford * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Thomas | 21 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| R. Bradley | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| R. Moss | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Adetula | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Sims | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Stockton | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Gay * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| M. Williams * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 19 | - |
| D. Brown * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Boone * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Mulchrone * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Adrien | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| R. Anderson | 15 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| C. Austrie | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| E. Nelson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter