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2006-03-25

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 40.0% 60.0% -
Bradley-Terry 53.2% 46.8% -
Margin 54.3% 45.7% -0.9 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 29.1% 70.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.3% 51.7% -
Log Adjusted 48.3% 51.7% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers -5 (45-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Farmar * 36 1-9 0-2 2-4 3 3 1 0 5 4 -3 -
A. Afflalo * 35 2-9 2-4 9-10 3 0 0 0 2 15 7 -
Player #13603 * 31 6-7 0-0 2-11 9 0 1 1 1 14 17 -
L. Mbah a Moute * 27 0-4 0-0 2-4 7 1 1 0 1 2 6 -
C. Bozeman * 25 0-3 0-1 3-4 3 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
D. Collison 19 1-2 0-0 2-3 3 1 1 0 4 4 3 -
A. Aboya 13 2-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
L. Mata-Real 9 2-3 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 1 1 4 7 -
M. Roll 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Anderson * 34 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 2 1 -
D. Washington Jr. * 32 4-10 0-2 5-6 4 0 4 0 5 13 6 -
S. Williams * 31 2-9 1-5 3-6 8 1 2 0 2 8 8 -
Player #10987 * 26 2-12 1-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 5 -4 -
J. Dorsey * 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 3 2 3 -
C. Douglas-Roberts 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 3 6 5 -
A. Allen 14 0-3 0-2 1-3 0 1 0 0 0 1 -1 -
K. Cooper 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
R. Dozier 11 3-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 2 6 8 -
W. Williams 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter