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2006-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 83.3% 16.7% -
Bradley-Terry 36.5% 63.5% -
Margin 30.5% 69.5% +4.5 (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% -
Efficiency 58.1% 41.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.0% 70.0% -
Log Adjusted 29.7% 70.3% -

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles -5 (85-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Davidson * 39 9-19 0-0 3-6 12 4 0 2 1 21 19 -
R. Steele * 38 5-9 4-6 9-11 5 8 1 1 5 23 24 -
R. Hendrix * 31 3-5 0-0 0-2 7 2 3 0 4 6 9 -
B. Hollinger * 13 0-3 0-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
E. Brock * 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Felix 35 8-11 8-11 7-8 1 0 0 0 2 31 19 -
A. Gee 31 2-6 0-3 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 5 4 -

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Novak * 33 5-10 5-9 2-2 5 1 2 0 0 17 15 -
D. James * 32 7-14 2-5 4-4 3 5 2 1 2 20 15 -
O. Barro * 27 6-7 0-0 1-2 3 1 3 3 2 13 14 -
J. Chapman * 26 3-9 0-4 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 9 3 -
J. McNeal * 26 5-8 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 10 5 -
W. Matthews 24 4-8 0-1 2-5 3 2 0 0 2 10 5 -
D. Fitzgerald 15 2-4 0-2 2-2 3 1 2 0 1 6 7 -
C. Grimm 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Lott 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter