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2006-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 19.5% 80.5% -
Bradley-Terry 24.6% 75.4% -
Margin 18.7% 81.3% +8.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 31.8% 68.2% -
Efficiency 31.8% 68.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.1% 73.9% -
Log Adjusted 26.2% 73.8% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +10 (90-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Calloway * 33 6-12 1-2 0-0 9 10 0 0 0 13 20 -
R. Vaden * 30 7-15 6-13 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 20 10 -
M. Strickland * 30 6-9 6-9 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 18 10 -
A.J. Ratliff * 29 3-8 3-7 0-1 8 1 1 0 1 9 10 -
M. Killingsworth * 22 6-13 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 1 4 12 3 -
R. Wilmont 21 3-9 0-3 0-3 5 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
E. Suhr 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
B. Allen 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 -
L. Monroe 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Kline 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Morrison * 36 5-17 0-3 4-7 9 1 1 0 2 14 6 -
J.P. Batista * 31 10-18 0-1 0-0 9 0 3 1 1 20 14 -
D. Raivio * 27 2-7 1-4 8-10 2 3 2 0 2 13 11 -
S. Mallon * 24 4-7 0-1 7-8 10 2 1 1 1 15 21 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes * 19 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Knight 23 4-5 0-0 3-4 4 2 0 0 0 11 12 -
J. Pargo 19 2-4 1-1 5-6 3 2 1 0 0 10 12 -
D. Pendergraft 17 1-1 0-0 5-6 2 2 0 0 0 7 10 -
J. Heytvelt 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter