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2006-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Xavier Musketeers Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 7.3% 92.7% -
Bradley-Terry 23.8% 76.2% -
Margin 13.1% 86.9% +10.4 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% -
Efficiency 71.9% 28.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% -
Log Adjusted 50.6% 49.4% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +4 (79-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Burrell * 38 6-15 4-8 6-6 3 5 1 0 1 22 15 -
J. Cage * 36 4-6 1-2 7-8 5 0 0 0 1 16 14 -
J. Doellman * 31 4-11 2-6 0-0 5 2 1 1 1 10 7 -
J. Wolf * 26 4-7 2-5 0-2 0 3 0 0 0 10 6 -
J. Duncan * 25 2-7 1-4 6-8 3 3 1 0 3 11 8 -
B.J. Raymond 23 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
B. Cole 19 0-1 0-0 2-5 7 0 1 0 2 2 7 -
W. Caudle 2 0-0 0-0 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Morrison * 38 11-21 4-8 9-11 2 4 0 0 3 35 17 -
J.P. Batista * 30 5-7 0-0 8-8 8 1 1 1 3 18 19 -
D. Raivio * 28 3-7 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 7 2 -
S. Mallon * 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 4 4 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes * 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
E. Knight 25 3-5 1-1 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 7 11 -
D. Pendergraft 21 1-2 0-0 2-4 4 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
J. Pargo 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 -
J. Heytvelt 7 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
L. Gurganious 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter