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2006-03-16

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 55.8% 44.2% -
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% -
Margin 17.3% 82.7% +8.6 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 61.8% 38.2% -
Efficiency 86.2% 13.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% -
Log Adjusted 42.2% 57.8% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +4 (87-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Williams * 39 5-6 2-3 0-0 6 8 4 0 5 12 19 -
N. LeSure * 38 6-17 3-9 0-0 2 5 1 0 2 15 4 -
M. Slaughter * 38 5-8 0-0 3-5 10 1 1 0 2 13 15 -
M. Abukar * 31 8-13 2-2 6-6 9 0 1 2 4 24 19 -
K. Spain * 18 3-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 8 4 -
J. Sharper 24 4-6 3-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 11 4 -
B. Hudson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
M. Camara 2 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Vaden * 36 5-12 5-11 3-3 3 3 1 0 2 18 11 -
M. Strickland * 32 4-9 1-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 9 2 -
E. Calloway * 28 8-9 1-1 1-1 4 3 6 0 1 18 21 -
M. Killingsworth * 25 8-13 0-0 2-5 4 2 1 0 3 18 9 -
A.J. Ratliff * 20 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 5 2 -
R. Wilmont 23 4-13 0-5 3-6 6 0 1 0 0 11 5 -
L. Monroe 19 3-5 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
B. Allen 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
S. Kline 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Suhr 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter