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2006-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 31.7% 68.3% -
Bradley-Terry 17.9% 82.1% -
Margin 9.8% 90.2% +12.2 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% -
Efficiency 76.4% 23.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.8% 83.2% -
Log Adjusted 16.7% 83.3% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers +16 (80-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ruffin * 30 2-5 1-2 2-4 1 4 2 0 3 7 6 -
M. Sommerville * 28 4-13 1-4 9-10 8 0 1 1 2 18 13 -
T. Bennett * 25 4-13 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 9 -6 -
J.J. Tauai * 20 0-0 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
P. O'Bryant 33 3-7 0-0 2-5 14 0 0 2 4 8 13 -
L. Wright 28 5-13 0-1 4-4 6 0 0 0 1 14 6 -
W. Franklin 25 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 6 2 -
Z. Andrews 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Crouch 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Adams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Heemskerk 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Brown 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Carney * 35 7-12 2-5 7-8 4 1 3 0 1 23 18 -
S. Williams * 32 4-8 1-2 3-4 8 0 1 4 1 12 16 -
J. Dorsey * 30 3-9 0-0 0-2 11 3 2 0 2 6 11 -
A. Anderson * 28 3-6 2-4 0-0 5 1 1 1 2 8 8 -
D. Washington Jr. * 28 8-14 1-3 1-2 3 1 1 0 3 18 6 -
A. Allen 16 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 5 2 0 0 3 11 -
C. Douglas-Roberts 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
K. Cooper 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
R. Dozier 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 -
J. Sandridge 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. McGrady 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Long 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
W. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Wade 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter