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2006-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Washington Huskies UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 35.7% 64.3% -
Bradley-Terry 29.0% 71.0% -
Margin 20.3% 79.7% +7.5 (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 34.5% 65.5% -
Efficiency 14.9% 85.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.5% 95.5% -
Log Adjusted 4.3% 95.7% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +22 (96-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Brockman 35 5-8 0-0 3-4 10 2 1 0 3 13 15 -
J. Dentmon 33 2-8 1-3 1-3 3 4 1 0 4 6 2 -
S. Hawes 33 6-12 0-0 9-10 6 2 2 1 6 21 14 -
R. Appleby 28 3-6 2-5 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 8 7 -
Q. Pondexter 24 5-7 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 11 3 -
P. Nelson 22 5-10 0-5 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 10 7 -
A. Oliver 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Burmeister 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
H. Gasser 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Wallace 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Collison 33 6-11 3-6 0-0 1 12 1 0 2 15 16 -
A. Afflalo 33 11-15 5-8 0-0 5 8 2 0 0 27 27 -
L. Mbah a Moute 30 4-6 0-0 0-1 6 0 3 2 3 8 10 -
L. Mata-Real 24 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 2 3 0 0 8 9 -
J. Shipp 23 5-10 1-4 2-2 3 3 1 0 2 13 8 -
M. Roll 22 6-11 3-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 15 6 -
J. Keefe 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
R. Wright 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
A. Aboya 8 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 2 1 2 5 -
R. Westbrook 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Abdul-Hamid 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
N. Dragovic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter