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2006-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 9.2% 90.8% -
Bradley-Terry 13.2% 86.8% -
Margin 4.2% 95.8% +17.2 (25.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% -
Efficiency 84.2% 15.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.2% 46.8% -
Log Adjusted 53.2% 46.8% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -8 (74-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kemp 38 6-16 3-9 6-9 4 0 1 0 5 21 5 -
K. Shiloh 34 2-6 0-3 0-0 5 4 0 0 2 4 5 -
D. Ikovlev 32 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 6 8 -
N. Fazekas 31 9-17 2-3 4-5 9 1 3 2 3 24 19 -
R. Sessions 28 6-9 2-3 6-6 8 4 3 0 4 20 22 -
L. Burleson 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
D. Ellis 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. McGee 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Fields 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Raivio 38 3-7 3-6 6-6 1 4 0 0 5 15 8 -
M. Bouldin 35 4-9 2-5 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 10 10 -
J. Pargo 35 7-14 0-0 4-5 2 2 1 0 7 18 2 -
J. Heytvelt 30 6-10 0-1 2-2 6 1 1 1 2 14 11 -
S. Mallon 23 6-9 0-1 1-2 7 3 0 0 3 13 11 -
D. Pendergraft 18 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 3 0 2 2 4 -
A. Kuso 11 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 1 0 2 5 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter