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2006-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 62.5% 37.5% -
Bradley-Terry 58.8% 41.2% -
Margin 51.8% 48.2% -0.4 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 78.0% 22.0% -
Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.2% 5.8% -
Log Adjusted 94.3% 5.7% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers -3 (73-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Leunen 38 4-8 3-3 3-4 7 4 2 0 1 14 18 -
B. Taylor 36 10-16 1-4 1-2 9 0 1 0 3 22 13 -
A. Brooks 34 3-8 2-4 5-5 5 6 3 0 7 13 12 -
C. Oguchi 27 2-5 2-5 6-6 0 1 1 0 2 12 7 -
T. Porter 22 1-7 1-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 3 -2 -
J. Catron 17 2-5 0-0 0-2 3 2 0 0 1 4 3 -
A. Zahn 17 3-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 3 0 1 8 8 -
C. Odia 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Tarver 40 6-12 1-5 2-5 1 7 3 0 5 15 9 -
M. Jones 34 7-12 1-3 1-2 10 0 2 0 2 16 14 -
K. Jeffers 33 5-7 0-0 0-0 9 4 0 2 2 10 16 -
W. Washington 31 5-10 0-2 1-3 3 4 2 0 2 11 8 -
S. Cuic 30 6-13 2-5 2-2 0 2 1 0 1 16 5 -
J. McGillis 16 1-4 1-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 3 5 -1 -
M. Johnson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
S. Tarver 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Hampton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
R. Schaftenaar 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter