Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Santa Clara Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.8% | 84.2% | +9.2 | ✗ (39.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Santa Clara Broncos -30 (48-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. McCraw | 32 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 32 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| D. Nwaelele | 32 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| T. Anderson | 30 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Henke | 27 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| N. Welch | 22 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| A. Hood | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Frye | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| E. Kenzik | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Teets | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Holland | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Maren | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Denison | 31 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Pariseau | 28 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| B. Angley | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Dougherty | 23 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Bryant | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| S. Lamar | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Johnson | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Latimer | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Gunderson | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Kaempf | 9 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T. Parham | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Rohe | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Henke | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| O. Mbanugo | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter