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2006-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 11.4% 88.6% -
Bradley-Terry 9.1% 90.9% -
Margin 3.5% 96.5% +18.3 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 19.2% 80.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +27 (76-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Ito 28 2-6 2-4 3-4 2 1 1 0 3 9 4 -
S. Watson 27 2-8 0-1 3-3 5 0 1 0 1 7 4 -
D. Cooper 23 2-13 1-5 7-8 3 2 3 1 5 12 3 -
B. Averette 23 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 4 9 -
K. Field 22 0-6 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 -3 -
J. Jones 19 3-10 0-0 0-3 5 0 0 1 2 6 0 -
M. Carter 19 1-7 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -5 -
B. Sullivan 16 3-4 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
E. Niedermeyer 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
W. Thompson 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
P. Emerson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Leunen 33 9-15 2-6 4-5 14 0 0 1 4 24 20 -
A. Brooks 28 6-9 3-4 4-4 1 3 1 1 2 19 14 -
B. Taylor 28 1-8 0-2 3-4 0 0 0 1 0 5 -2 -
J. Catron 26 1-8 0-3 3-6 17 2 1 0 1 5 16 -
C. Oguchi 22 1-6 0-5 1-4 1 0 0 0 3 3 -5 -
C. Odia 20 1-4 1-3 2-4 3 2 1 0 1 5 6 -
A. Zahn 16 3-6 0-0 4-4 7 1 1 0 2 10 11 -
T. Porter 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Platt 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Schafer 4 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 3 3 -
A. Stelly 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter