Model Predictions
| Model | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.8% | 91.2% | +12.8 | ✓ (26.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +39 (87-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Griffin | 37 | 4-17 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -4 | - |
| M. Webb | 35 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| A. Hill | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| C. Nelson | 30 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | -13 | - |
| H. Ndiaye | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| O. Bailey | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| F. Russell | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Keating | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Mimmo | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Cherry | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Colon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 29 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| W. Ellington | 27 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| T. Lawson | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| B. Wright | 24 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| R. Terry | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Green | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| W. Miller | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Thompson | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Copeland | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Wood | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Burke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter