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2006-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 9.5% 90.5% -
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% -
Margin 38.6% 61.4% +2.6 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.6% 47.4% -
Efficiency 95.0% 5.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.7% 30.3% -
Log Adjusted 69.6% 30.4% -

Actual: New Mexico Lobos +3 (71-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Ogirri 35 6-15 6-12 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 18 9 -
K. Wilson 32 10-20 3-7 0-1 9 3 0 0 2 23 13 -
M. Braeuer 31 2-3 1-2 2-3 2 2 0 0 0 7 8 -
K. Bradley 30 1-7 0-3 0-0 6 3 0 1 2 2 3 -
R. Martin 25 3-5 0-0 0-2 4 1 1 0 0 6 7 -
P. Thomasson 19 5-7 0-0 0-1 4 2 0 1 1 10 9 -
W. Preadom 17 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
G. Mekel 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 0 2 -

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Smith 34 3-7 2-6 5-5 2 5 0 0 3 13 10 -
T. Danridge 32 7-12 1-3 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 17 9 -
C. Toppert 25 3-6 2-5 2-3 3 2 0 0 0 10 9 -
J.R. Giddens 24 6-16 2-6 0-0 6 2 0 1 0 14 7 -
D. Prentice 24 1-3 1-2 3-4 0 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
D. Faris 22 0-3 0-1 2-4 7 0 0 0 2 2 4 -
A. Johnson 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
R. Martinez 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Henfield 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
R. Kersten 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
K. Walter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter