Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Saint Louis Billikens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.3% | 15.7% | -9.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Louis Billikens -21 (48-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 35 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| T. Lawson | 33 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| B. Wright | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 21 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Green | 20 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| R. Terry | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| W. Ellington | 18 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | - |
| W. Miller | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Thompson | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Burke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Wood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Copeland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lisch | 36 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -3 | - |
| L. Meyer | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Polk | 33 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| I. Vouyoukas | 32 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| T. Liddell | 31 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| D. Brown | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Johnson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| W. Bennett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Knollmeyer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Husak | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Maguire | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter