Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | +0.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -7 (54-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Scheyer | 39 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| G. Paulus | 39 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| J. McRoberts | 38 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 22 | - |
| D. McClure | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| D. Nelson | 26 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| G. Henderson | 23 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Pocius | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pargo | 39 | 8-13 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 18 | - |
| D. Raivio | 38 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Mallon | 28 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Bouldin | 25 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Kuso | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Heytvelt | 20 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| P. Altidor-Cespedes | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Pendergraft | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter