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2006-12-20

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Washington Huskies Spread Result
Elo 41.0% 59.0% -
Bradley-Terry 45.4% 54.6% -
Margin 36.8% 63.2% +3.0 (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 70.9% 29.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.6% 49.4% -
Log Adjusted 50.8% 49.2% -

Actual: Washington Huskies +16 (88-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Davis 37 3-11 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 1 2 8 6 -
T. Mitchell 34 8-17 2-3 2-2 2 3 0 0 0 20 8 -
G. Temple 29 4-10 1-6 0-0 3 4 0 0 4 9 2 -
D. Lazare 21 0-2 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 0 5 -
B. Balla 20 4-6 1-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 4 9 6 -
T. Martin 20 5-11 3-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 13 4 -
M. Rolle 15 2-3 0-0 0-1 3 1 1 1 1 4 6 -
D. Mason 14 3-5 0-1 3-4 3 0 1 1 1 9 8 -
B. Voogd 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Brockman 32 8-17 0-0 3-4 14 1 1 0 1 19 17 -
S. Hawes 30 10-16 0-0 3-4 12 1 0 1 2 23 19 -
J. Dentmon 30 2-10 0-1 3-4 0 9 3 0 3 7 6 -
Q. Pondexter 27 6-12 2-3 1-2 5 1 2 0 0 15 11 -
R. Appleby 26 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
A. Oliver 22 2-5 1-1 0-0 3 4 1 0 3 5 5 -
P. Nelson 14 3-4 3-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 9 7 -
H. Gasser 10 1-1 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
A. Wallace 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
B. Burmeister 2 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter