Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.3 | ✗ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -7 (75-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Steele | 33 | 5-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | - |
| R. Hendrix | 33 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 24 | - |
| M. Riley | 32 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 7-10 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| J. Davidson | 32 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Gee | 29 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| B. Hollinger | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Y. Coleman | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Tubbs | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Jemison | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Costner | 36 | 7-14 | 5-8 | 6-9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 17 | - |
| C. Fells | 36 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| G. Grant | 35 | 3-14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | - |
| B. McCauley | 30 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| B. Nieman | 26 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Ferguson | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| D. Horner | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter