Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.3% | 59.7% | +1.9 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.5% | 87.5% | +10.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +16 (89-73). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Golden | 31 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Ian O'Leary | 29 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Tron Smith | 28 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Omar Samhan | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Diamon Simpson | 26 | 3-12 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| B. Collins | 21 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Winston | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Y. Smith | 13 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| B. Sholberg | 6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Dubois Williams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Dyson | 32 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 6-10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| A.J. Price | 30 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jeff Adrien | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Marcus Johnson | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D. Wiggins | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Mandeldove | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| G. Edwards | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. Austrie | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| S. Robinson | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Kelly | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. Garrison | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Gagne | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Eaves | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter