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2006-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 47.7% 52.3% -
Bradley-Terry 90.8% 9.2% -
Margin 31.6% 68.4% +4.2 (20.8 off)
Pythagorean 25.6% 74.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.5% 96.5% -
Log Adjusted 3.5% 96.5% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +25 (87-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Dowell 40 4-15 3-8 1-2 6 0 2 1 2 12 4 -
L. Smith 36 5-10 2-4 0-0 1 6 1 0 2 12 8 -
R. McKiver 30 5-16 2-10 1-2 5 1 1 0 2 13 2 -
M. Malone 28 3-12 3-10 0-0 2 4 2 0 0 9 5 -
O. Lafayette 25 4-13 2-9 0-0 7 3 0 0 2 10 5 -
J. Thorpe 22 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 4 5 -
R. Lee 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -2 -
N. Mosley 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Williams 32 7-15 0-2 1-2 12 3 0 0 3 15 12 -
M. Shakur 30 7-8 0-1 3-4 6 8 1 0 3 17 21 -
C. Budinger 29 7-10 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 15 11 -
J. McClellan 29 4-7 0-1 2-2 7 4 0 0 4 10 10 -
I. Radenovic 28 3-11 2-4 8-8 11 1 1 1 3 16 16 -
D. Dillon 15 2-3 1-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 6 6 -
J. Hill 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 4 8 -
N. Wise 9 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -1 -
B. Brielmaier 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
F. Onobun 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
M. Tangara 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
D. Bagga 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter