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2006-12-16

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 5.0% 95.0% -
Bradley-Terry 5.8% 94.2% -
Margin 1.3% 98.7% +23.9 (1.9 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles +22 (68-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fry 40 2-4 0-0 2-3 7 1 1 2 4 6 9 -
C. Pugh 40 6-13 1-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 5 15 -1 -
T. Young 35 6-13 2-4 3-5 3 2 1 0 5 17 5 -
M. Housman 34 1-7 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 3 2 2 -
M. Spadafora 32 2-5 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
C. Seaborn 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 2 -3 -

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. James 36 8-16 0-6 1-1 2 6 4 0 3 17 10 -
W. Matthews 28 2-4 0-1 0-2 4 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
J. McNeal 25 5-11 3-5 2-3 5 2 0 0 1 15 10 -
D. Cubillan 19 1-5 1-5 0-2 1 2 1 0 0 3 2 -
D. Fitzgerald 18 3-4 2-3 0-1 6 1 4 0 1 8 14 -
D. Burke 17 0-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 2 1 0 1 -
L. Hayward 16 6-11 0-1 1-4 7 0 1 1 3 13 8 -
O. Barro 15 1-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
L. Blackledge 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 4 5 -
J. Lott 12 0-1 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 0 0 0 4 -
C. Kuphall 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Brice 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter