Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.2% | 98.8% | +24.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +31 (93-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.J. Garland | 35 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Harrell | 33 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| V. James | 30 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| B. Smithson | 28 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| D. Jones | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C.J. Walker | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Warner | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Augst | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. George | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| G. Moles | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Ridenhour | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 27 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| T. Lawson | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| W. Ellington | 24 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| B. Wright | 23 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 21 | - |
| R. Terry | 23 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| D. Green | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Thompson | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| W. Miller | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Copeland | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Wood | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Burke | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter