Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.6% | 84.4% | +9.3 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns +1 (76-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Davis | 45 | 8-20 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| G. Temple | 45 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 44 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 24 | - |
| D. Mason | 33 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Balla | 30 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Rolle | 25 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Voogd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Durant | 43 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 41 | 9-16 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 16 | - |
| A.J. Abrams | 40 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | - |
| D. James | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| C. Atchley | 27 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Mason | 24 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| M. Hill | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J.D. Lewis | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter