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2006-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Washington Huskies Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 13.1% 86.9% -
Bradley-Terry 21.2% 78.8% -
Margin 11.1% 88.9% +11.4 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% -
Efficiency 60.4% 39.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.8% 59.2% -
Log Adjusted 40.7% 59.3% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +20 (97-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dentmon 32 2-14 0-6 3-3 5 6 2 0 4 7 2 -
R. Appleby 28 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 8 0 0 0 3 8 -
S. Hawes 28 8-15 0-0 4-4 6 3 0 0 4 20 10 -
Q. Pondexter 28 5-7 2-3 1-2 0 1 0 0 3 13 4 -
J. Brockman 27 6-9 0-0 1-4 12 2 1 1 2 13 18 -
A. Oliver 26 5-11 0-3 1-2 5 0 1 0 2 11 4 -
P. Nelson 21 3-8 2-4 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 8 5 -
H. Gasser 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
B. Burmeister 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Wallace 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Raivio 37 9-17 4-6 3-3 6 1 2 1 0 25 18 -
M. Bouldin 31 9-12 1-1 2-2 3 5 1 0 2 21 16 -
J. Pargo 30 2-9 1-2 3-4 3 6 1 0 2 8 7 -
J. Heytvelt 23 5-8 0-0 4-7 7 0 0 0 1 14 12 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes 22 4-10 1-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 9 4 -
D. Pendergraft 20 2-3 1-1 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 6 7 -
S. Mallon 19 1-4 0-2 3-3 5 2 1 1 2 5 8 -
A. Kuso 18 3-6 0-0 3-3 6 1 0 4 0 9 14 -
W. Foster 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Mast 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Sorenson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter