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2006-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 63.3% 36.7% -
Bradley-Terry 6.2% 93.8% -
Margin 45.4% 54.6% +1.0 (22.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.6% 47.4% -
Efficiency 63.2% 36.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.1% 21.9% -
Log Adjusted 78.1% 21.9% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -21 (48-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Radenovic 37 4-10 1-1 1-2 5 3 0 0 1 10 7 -
M. Williams 34 10-16 1-2 0-0 16 0 2 2 3 21 22 -
J. McClellan 34 3-9 0-2 4-6 7 1 0 1 2 10 8 -
M. Shakur 33 6-11 2-4 0-0 8 5 2 0 3 14 15 -
C. Budinger 31 2-9 1-4 0-0 1 2 2 1 2 5 0 -
N. Wise 13 1-2 1-2 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
D. Dillon 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
B. Brielmaier 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
K. Walters 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. LeSure 39 6-18 2-10 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 14 0 -
M. Abukar 37 3-14 1-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 7 -2 -
R. Williams 33 2-4 0-1 0-0 7 4 1 0 5 4 7 -
J. Habel 32 4-8 0-1 1-2 7 1 0 0 1 9 8 -
L. Wade 27 2-10 1-6 0-0 3 2 1 1 2 5 0 -
K. Spain 23 3-9 1-4 0-0 5 1 3 0 1 7 6 -
C. Lamb 5 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Johnson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter