Model Predictions
| Model | Manhattan Jaspers | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.0% | 78.0% | +7.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags -3 (54-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Crawford | 34 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| P. Bouli | 33 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| D. Austin | 33 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| A. Pearson | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| G. Ngarndi | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Ferguson | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| B. Adams | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Dubois | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| F. Traore | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| W. Sabo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Van Schaick | 34 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Han | 31 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| H. Allen | 24 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| M. O'Sullivan | 24 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -2 | - |
| A. Johnson | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| D. Johnson | 22 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - |
| G. Nero | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| D. Oglesby | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Diakhate | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Middleton | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Flemming | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter