Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.9% | 93.1% | +14.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +12 (102-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Bassett | 33 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 15 | - |
| R. Chaney | 30 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| J. Odem | 29 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Jackson | 24 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -1 | - |
| S. Sharp | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Jonus | 22 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| B. Ramsey | 20 | 8-13 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 14 | - |
| R. Jennings | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Calvin | 33 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| N. Grant | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| J. Young | 28 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| A. Stewart | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Josiah Cox | 20 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| K. Korver | 19 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Emmenecker | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| L. Houston | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Bryant | 11 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| N. Works | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Heemskerk | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Baryenbruch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter