Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.6% | 17.4% | -8.6 | ✓ (31.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -40 (45-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bales | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| C. Gay | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| W. Smith | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| E. Waner | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| L. Harding | 0 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Zurich | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 0 | 0-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| B. Ray | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Adams | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Carson | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter